{"id":27,"date":"2024-07-05T18:21:30","date_gmt":"2024-07-05T18:21:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yippeekiai.com\/?p=27"},"modified":"2024-07-05T18:40:33","modified_gmt":"2024-07-05T18:40:33","slug":"ais-impact-on-the-environment-from-now-to-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.yippeekiai.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/05\/ais-impact-on-the-environment-from-now-to-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"AI&#8217;s Impact on the Environment from Now to 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Will AI cause more problems for the environment in the next 6 years than solutions?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wells Fargo is projecting that AI power demand will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/bethkindig\/2024\/06\/20\/ai-power-consumption-rapidly-becoming-mission-critical\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">grow 8100%<\/a> from 8TWh in 2024 to 652TWh in 2030. More than half of that is due to AI model training.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Google has already stated that AI data centers are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/climate-change\/news\/google-climate-emissions-ai-data-centers-b2572865.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">derailing their carbon emission goals<\/a>. And the 8100% increase has just begun.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The AI demand surge correlates in time with a surge in electric cars, continued Bitcoin draining of the grid, and an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/news\/the-energy-world-is-set-to-change-significantly-by-2030-based-on-today-s-policy-settings-alone\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">overall shift in the economy<\/a> from carbon-based to renewable energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"340\" height=\"340\" src=\"https:\/\/www.yippeekiai.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/AI-energy-demand-e1720203617758.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-30\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, scaling up renewable energy production takes years. A nuclear power plant takes around <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com\/p\/nuclear-construction-time\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">6-8 years<\/a> to build, but <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/white-house-support-new-nuclear-power-plants-us-2024-05-29\/\">no new ones are being built in the US<\/a> at this time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is also highly unlikely that the output of AI tools would contribute to any substantial impact that would pass regulations, get implemented, and have an actual impact in that timeframe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The supply and demand factors of the economy imply that the energy price will rise when there is increased demand that is not met with increased production. Since energy is a part of most production, products will to some extent get a higher price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If supply is met by carbon emission energy sources, the world&#8217;s emission goals will take a hit and the greenhouse effect <a href=\"https:\/\/energyinnovation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/Cost_of_Delay.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">can accelerate<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One trend that will probably continue is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/usa\/countries-say-no-to-bitcoin-mines\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">banning Bitcoin mining<\/a> to save energy. Bitcoin uses much of the same resources as AI, like data centers, GPUs, and energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Optimally, AI can accelerate the development of solutions like a more energy-efficient cryptocurrency, thus freeing up much-needed energy resources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, in the near term, up to 2030, AI will probably have a negative environmental impact by driving up demand for energy. AI will likely not be able to make any large-scale contributions in that time that would result in a net positive effect on the environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It could very well be an investment that pays off in the long run. The problem for the environment is that net positive changes need to be made now.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will AI cause more problems for the environment in the next 6 years than solutions? Wells Fargo is projecting that AI power demand will grow 8100% from 8TWh in 2024 to 652TWh in 2030. More than half of that is due to AI model training. Google has already stated that AI data centers are derailing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[10,11,9,5],"class_list":["post-27","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ai","tag-data-centers","tag-energy","tag-environment","tag-training"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>AI&#039;s Impact on the Environment from Now to 2030 - yippeekiAI.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.yippeekiai.com\/index.php\/2024\/07\/05\/ais-impact-on-the-environment-from-now-to-2030\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AI&#039;s Impact on the Environment from Now to 2030 - yippeekiAI.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Will AI cause more problems for the environment in the next 6 years than solutions? Wells Fargo is projecting that AI power demand will grow 8100% from 8TWh in 2024 to 652TWh in 2030. More than half of that is due to AI model training. 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